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Wuliangye Group signed a memorandum of cooperation with Gan Lu Wine Group of Chile, and on December 5th, Wuliangye Group signed a memorandum of cooperation with Gan Lu Wine Group of Chile. Chile Gan Lu Wine Group is the largest wine production group in South America, with its brand footprints in Chile, Argentina and the United States, and its sales covering 147 countries and regions around the world. This signing indicates that Wuliangye and Gan Lu Wine Group of Chile have further established a long-term and stable partnership.CICC interprets the meeting of the Politburo in December: the fiscal policy next year is expected to be significantly higher than this year. CICC issued a document saying that the tone of the Politburo in September will be continued, and this Politburo meeting will further inject confidence into the market, and there will be many new formulations in policy. From the perspective of policy objectives, the demand for growth is more clear, and the expression of "property market and stock market" is also very clear. From the policy direction, expanding domestic demand ranks first, and the tendency to boost consumption and improve people's livelihood is further highlighted. From the policy tone, monetary and fiscal policies are more active, and "extraordinary countercyclical adjustment" is put forward for the first time. In terms of specific policy prospects, we believe that the following aspects are worthy of attention: the intensity of fiscal policy next year is expected to be significantly higher than this year; The loose space of monetary policy may be opened through comprehensive policies, and the structural monetary policy may be significantly overweight; Expand domestic demand in an all-round way, and incremental measures may focus more on consumption; Further promote reform and opening up. Generally speaking, the policy mix is in line with what we judge as "tight credit, loose money and wide finance" in the second half of the financial cycle.CITIC Securities: The main line of the anti-monopoly investigation on domestic chips in NVIDIA is clear. According to the CITIC Securities Research Report, on December 9, 2024, the General Administration of Market Supervision launched an investigation on NVIDIA Company in accordance with the law, which is a legal management means to regulate and maintain fair market competition order, and has a leading role in the domestic chip industry, and is expected to boost domestic computing power and market sentiment of chips in a short time. In combination with the increasing emphasis on self-control by relevant domestic departments and industry associations, we expect that the overall localization pace of domestic semiconductor industry is expected to be further accelerated, and the manufacturing link is also expected to benefit.

Huaxi Securities: In 2025, the rate of RRR cut and interest rate cut may not be lower than 50bp and 20bp. Huaxi Securities Research Report pointed out that this Politburo meeting revisited "moderately loose monetary policy", and the market inevitably associated with the magnificent combination of monetary and fiscal policies in 2008-2010. Specific to this round of monetary policy, it may be similar to it, not only the tone has changed, but also the framework has changed from the previous cross-cycle (or both cross-cycle and counter-cycle) to counter-cycle adjustment, which is likely to point to an increase in the adjustment range of reserve ratio and policy interest rate. Looking forward to 2025, the rate of single RRR cut and interest rate cut of monetary policy may not be lower than 50bp and 20bp (the rate in 2024), and the possibility of further increasing the rate in the face of extreme circumstances is not ruled out. The specific degree and duration of easing may depend on the economic situation.CITIC Securities: The supply or trend of government bonds will increase, and the subsequent banking system will face certain undertaking pressure. According to the CITIC Securities Research Report, the supply or trend of government bonds will increase in the medium and long term, and the subsequent banking system will face certain undertaking pressure. Under the logic of debt conversion, the continuous issuance of replacement special bonds will reduce the capital occupation of the banking system, but it will also increase the pressure of interest margin on the asset side, which may have a greater impact on small and medium-sized rural commercial banks. In addition, banks undertake a large number of medium and long-term interest-rate bonds or put pressure on their liquidity indicators, but at present, all indicators of state-owned banks have a high margin of safety, and we think the overall impact may be more controllable. At the beginning of next year, we can focus on the influence of small and medium-sized banks' bond buying behavior, or form a certain bullish support for long-term bond interest rates.South Korea said that the recent increase in financial and foreign exchange market volatility will actively respond to reverse market sentiment. The South Korean government said in a joint statement that the recent increase in financial and foreign exchange market volatility is somewhat excessive considering the fundamentals of South Korea's economic stability and the stability of the external environment. The government and the Bank of Korea are capable of coping with the market and will actively respond to reverse market sentiment. Pay close attention to market trends and will use all measures to stabilize the market. South Korean Finance Minister Choe Sang-mu, Central Bank Governor Lee Chang-yong and financial regulators meet every day to evaluate the financial market.

China Seismological Network officially determined that a magnitude 5.7 earthquake occurred in Nevada, USA (39.05 degrees north latitude and 118.85 degrees west longitude) at 07: 08 on December 10th with a focal depth of 10 kilometers.Liu Jianchao met with New Zealand Ambassador to China Maury. According to the website of the International Liaison Department of the CPC Central Committee, on December 9, Liu Jianchao, Minister of the International Liaison Department of the CPC Central Committee, met with the outgoing New Zealand Ambassador to China Maury in Beijing. Liu Jianchao spoke highly of Mao Rui's contribution to the development of China-Singapore relations during his tenure. Liu Jianchao said that since China and Singapore established a comprehensive strategic partnership for 10 years, pragmatic cooperation in various fields has yielded fruitful results. At present, the world situation is uncertain and unstable. China and New Zealand are both in the Asia-Pacific region. A stable and sustainable Sino-New Zealand relationship is conducive to regional and world peace and prosperity. China is willing to work with Singapore to close inter-party exchanges, strengthen political dialogue, deepen pragmatic cooperation in various fields, and promote the stability and far-reaching relations between China and Singapore.In early trading, the main domestic futures contracts rose almost across the board, with coke and glass rising by over 5%, BR rubber and coking coal rising by over 4%, screw thread and soda ash rising by over 3%, iron ore rising by nearly 3%, and hot coil, polyvinyl chloride (PVC), para-xylene (PX), PTA, Shanghai Bank, Shanghai Tin, rapeseed meal and SC crude oil rising by over 2%. In terms of decline, asphalt and low sulfur fuel oil (LU) declined slightly.